Brexit fans in the cabinet have actually concurred the UK needs to use to pay more cash to the EU as it leaves.
But no official deal will be made up until the EU accepts start speaking about a brand-new trade handle the UK.
No brand-new figure has actually been provided – however it is believed it might be as much as £ 40bn, which would be double exactly what the UK’s deals up until now amount to.
The UK and the EU have yet to settle on the so-called “divorce costs” with the UK due to leave the EU in March 2019.
Some Conservative MPs have actually responded madly to the possibility of the UK accepting pay more – the other day one, Nigel Evans, stated it would resemble a “ransom payment” to the EU while another, Robert Halfon, stated it would make citizens “go bananas”.
But in spite of this, BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith stated leading Brexiteers in Theresa May’s cabinet, like Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, had actually consented to support her in paying a “much bigger amount” – as long as the EU accepts start trade talks, which it has actually chosen not to do so far.
And no last figure will be concurred up until a trade offer is concurred, he included.
- Laura Kuenssberg: How May got cabinet onside
- Brexit divorce expense: Reality Check asks exactly what’s taking place
How did we get here?
The UK voted to leave the EU in June 2016, and served the EU with official notification of Brexit in March 2017. This started a two-year countdown to the UK’s departure day which will remain in March 2019.
Before that the 2 sides need to concur all sorts of things – including exactly what occurs to EU people residing in the UK and British individuals residing in the EU, and how the Northern Ireland border will work.
So the 2 groups of arbitrators have actually been satisfying in Brussels each month.
But there has actually not been much of a development up until now, with the “divorce expense” showing to be among the crucial sticking points.
Part of the issue for Theresa May is that while the EU desires the UK to use more loan, a few of her MPs state this would be inappropriate which the UK ought to simply leave and leave.
EU leaders are because of choose at a top on 14 and 15 December whether to permit talks on a future trade relationship to start.
What ministers discussed
It was billed as an essential conference where Theresa May would attempt to get her ministers on side to support her in working out money with the EU.
Downing Street has actually been tight-lipped about exactly what was in fact talked about at the Cabinet Exit and Trade (Strategy and Negotiations) sub-committee, chaired by Prime Minister Theresa May.
But the BBC comprehends ministers concluded there is the possibility that talks with the EU will carry on to the next stage in December however “we are not going to proceed our own”.
There were likewise stress over the future function of the European Court of Justice.
Some think the court will have to monitor the trading guidelines in between the UK and EU throughout a duration of shift after Britain leaves.
Chancellor Philip Hammond has actually drifted the concept of a tribunal, much like the plans in location in European Economic Area nations such as Norway, to settle any disagreements.
But the EU might demand a continued function for the European Court of Justice.
Why does the UK owe anything?
The EU states the UK has to settle its accounts prior to it leaves. It states the UK has actually made monetary dedications that need to be settled as part of a general withdrawal arrangement.
The UK accepts that it has some commitments. And it has actually guaranteed not to leave other nation expense in the existing EU budget plan duration from 2014-20.
But the devil remains in the information.
There are likewise concerns like pensions for EU personnel, and how the UK’s contribution to these is computed for several years to come, and the concern of exactly what occurs to constructing jobs – for example in Spain – that had actually financing concurred by all EU members consisting of the UK however which will just start building after the UK has actually left.
Large quantities of the EU’s spending plan are invested in 2 locations – farming and fisheries, and advancement of poorer locations.
Projects consist of organisation trains, start-ups and roadways, education and health programs and numerous others.
Here’s exactly what the BBC’s Norman Smith makes from it
What about Germany?
While Theresa May is fighting to obtain her celebration onside, over in Germany there’s more turmoil, where union talks have actually broken down, plunging Chancellor Angela Merkel into a political crisis.
This has actually raised the possibility of more elections in Germany, the EU’s biggest economy.
How might this impact Brexit? Tory backbencher Andrew Bridgen informed the BBC there could be “no significant settlements” with the EU up until it was fixed, including: “Why would we wish to make concessions now when we do not need to?”
Tory MPs Jacob Rees-Mogg and Iain Duncan Smith concur – Mr Duncan Smith informed The Times the UK must “stand by”.
But on the BBC’s Today program, German minister Christian Schmidt alerted Tory Brexiteers not to aim to make the most of the political chaos in his nation to drive a more difficult deal.
“I would recommend to all not to depend on such a situation,” he stated, including that if the UK leaves the EU without an offer it will be a “catastrophe” for its economy.
Brexit or Bake Off?
The Sports Minister Tracey Crouch believes individuals have actually had enough of the “day-to-day commentary” on the UK’s EU departure.
She informs HuffPost UK individuals advise her in the street to “ask the BBC to stop reporting on Brexit”.
“They desire us to do it, they desire us to obtain on with it. I’m unsure they always desire the day-to-day commentary on it,” she states.
With this in mind, she just recently composed her weekly paper column on The Great British Bake Off rather.
“The only Brexit they appreciate is getting the bread from the oven in time,” it stated.